if to say, the odds of carcing it on a climbing trip are 1 in 100 (just to make it easy). You can deduce that if you go on 100 climbing trips, your number will come up. If you go on 1 climbing trip (1:100) & live (great success!), your next trips odds will still be 1:100 and so on - the odds of kicking it do not increase as you do more trips. Unless, of course, you climb with me and pick up my bad habits. |