An update of sorts.
The predicted SW change isn’t far off arriving in this area, and the Buffalo fire doubled in size overnight.
It currently has four helicopters cycling through the area refilling water buckets every 3 to 4 minutes out of Lake Catani...
There are other active fires near the Mt Buffalo area generally, particularly over eastwards, with evacuation warnings current for them.
All public parks / reserves / forests / etc in NE Vic are currently closed, along with many roads.
It’s a dynamic and evolving situation with ABC Radio warnings of unsurvivable firestorm conditions likely and townships like Hotham, Dinner Plains, Omeo, Falls Ck, Khancoban etc in the firing line...
The SW change will have strong gusty north and northwest winds ahead of it that will drive the fires fast and further, only to have their flanks turn into fire-fronts after the change.
Temperatures in the area today are mid 40’s, and tomorrow are predicted as being mid 20’s!!
Less than 5 mm of rain is expected with the change, unless fire driven thunderstorms evolve, in which 10 mm may happen but be offset by further lightning strikes...
Local fire controllers say we need at least 100 mm to have any impact on the fires, and they will likely continue burning for the foreseeable future. |